Game Result Predictions
Friday, February 15
The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Mount Pleasant, SC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
UNC Asheville (16-36, Road 6-20) |
0 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | 11 | ✔ | 1 | +6.5 | 18% | ✔ | |
|
Charleston (36-21, Home 24-9) |
9 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 9 (-2) |
8 | -6.5 | 82% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Charlotte, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Delaware (18-33, Road 7-21) |
2 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 4 | +2.0 | 37% | ✔ | |
|
Charlotte (21-31-1, Home 16-18) |
5 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 7 (-4) |
6 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Charlotte, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Delaware (18-33, Road 7-21) |
1 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 4 | +2.0 | 37% | ✔ | |
|
Charlotte (21-31-1, Home 16-18) |
3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 4 (-7) |
6 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Davidson, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Towson (14-39, Road 5-24) |
5 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | 11 | ✔ | 2 | +5.0 | 23% | ✔ | |
|
Davidson (29-22, Home 18-7) |
13 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 18 (7) |
7 | -5.0 | 77% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Elon, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Lafayette (19-33, Road 13-22) |
1 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | 12 | ✔ | 3 | +5.5 | 20% | ✔ | |
|
Elon (33-24, Home 16-15) |
9 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 10 (-2) |
8 | -5.5 | 80% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Houston, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Northeastern (28-29, Road 11-14) |
3 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | 13 | ✔ | 6 | -0.5 | 55% | ✘ | |
|
Houston Baptist (18-35, Home 14-13) |
9 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 12 (-1) |
5 | +0.5 | 45% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| San Antonio, TX | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Hofstra (18-31-1, Road 9-19) |
1 | 3 | +5.0 | 33% | 11 | ✔ | 3 | +4.0 | 28% | ✔ | |
|
Incarnate Word (37-22, Home 21-10) |
9 | 8 | -5.0 | 67% | Actual: 10 (-1) |
7 | -4.0 | 72% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Harrisonburg, VA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Norfolk State (24-26, Road 8-15) |
2 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 11 | ✔ | 4 | +2.0 | 37% | ✔ | |
|
James Madison (31-26, Home 22-11) |
12 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 14 (3) |
6 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Harrisonburg, VA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Norfolk State (24-26, Road 8-15) |
5 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 11 | ✔ | 4 | +2.0 | 37% | ✔ | |
|
James Madison (31-26, Home 22-11) |
16 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | Actual: 21 (10) |
6 | -2.0 | 63% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| UNCW Tournament - Wilmington, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
VMI (17-41, Road 6-18) |
2 | 4 | +4.0 | 36% | 12 | ✔ | 3 | +5.0 | 23% | ✔ | |
|
UNCW (32-31, Home 17-16) |
5 | 8 | -4.0 | 64% | Actual: 7 (-5) |
8 | -5.0 | 77% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| UNCW Tournament - Wilmington, NC | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Saint Joseph's (21-28, Road 9-10) |
4 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | 12 | ✘ | 4 | +4.0 | 27% | ✘ | |
|
UNCW (32-31, Home 17-16) |
2 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | Actual: 6 (-6) |
8 | -4.0 | 73% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Williamsburg, VA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Marist (27-26, Road 16-19) |
2 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 3 | +3.5 | 31% | ✔ | |
|
William & Mary (33-22, Home 16-11) |
3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 5 (-6) |
6 | -3.5 | 69% | |||
| Final | R1 Prediction | ELO Prediction | |||||||||
| Williamsburg, VA | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Over/Under | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
|
Marist (27-26, Road 16-19) |
3 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | 11 | ✔ | 3 | +3.5 | 31% | ✔ | |
|
William & Mary (33-22, Home 16-11) |
8 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | Actual: 11 (0) |
6 | -3.5 | 69% | |||